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Buy, Sell, Hold: 3 stocks and 4 sectors are being tracked by analysts today

HDFC

Brokerage: JPMorgan | Rating: Overweight | Target: Hiked to Rs 1,975

The global research firm expects steady earnings growth and minimal asset quality risk. Further, it also expects earnings per share (EPS) to growh at 15 percenr CAGR over 3 years. It values HDFC Life At Rs 55,000 crore, implying price/embedded value of 4.4x (FY17). It views HDFC as a defensive stock.

Glenmark

Brokerage: Nomura | Rating: Buy | Target: Hiked to Rs 880

The global broking firm sees a potential upside of 45 percent in the stock and believe that US launches and out-licensing deals will positively impact earnings. Further, it said that approval of four key drugs will add USD 50 million with EPS impact of Rs 9 per share in FY19. It also said that the out-licensing will generate upfront payments of more than USD 100 million.

Somany Ceramic

Brokerage: IIFL Sec| Target: Rs 967

The brokerage house has initiated coverage on the stock with a potential upside of 20 percent. it expects revenue growth to bounce back to 18 percent in FY19 and sees acceleration in tile segment & ramp-up of brownfield capacity. it also expects consistent strong performance, healthy balance sheet and low leverage.

Pharma

Brokerage: Goldman Sachs

The global investment bank observed that the sector continues to underperform and new launches are the key to this. Further, it said that the stock is still not pricing in a bear or stress case. It likes Aurobindo due to continued momentum in product launches and valuations. Meanwhile, it has a sell on Cipla as it does not see disproportionate growth from the US.

Media

Brokerage: IIFL

IIFL said that digitization will help Zee and Sun. Further, it expects EPS to grow at CAGR of 23/16 percent for Zee/Sun over FY17-20. It sees Zee’s total revenue to grow 6%/17%/14% for FY18/19/20, while Sun’s total revenue could grow 9%/21%/16% for FY18/19/20. Having said that, Dish TV could face a bigger threat from 4G/FTTH and feels there is a need to reinvent.

Oil Marketing Cos

Brokerage: Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley has turned more bullish on gas utilities as it sees a multi-year growth cycle ahead. This view, it said, bodes well for oil refiners as well. In this sector, the research firm’s key picks include Reliance Industries, IOC, Petronet LNG, GAIL and BPCL. It also highlighted that OMCs have the balance sheet, scale and an intent to support gas in many ways. In fact, it estimates gas to replace half of fuel oil consumption in the industries by 2021.

On oil and gas companies, the company also sees OMCs as key enablers in raising India’s gas demand by 50 percent by FY22. It added that the OMCs were leading and have the capability to support USD 30 billion gas investment need.

Banking Sector

Brokerage: CLSA

The global research firm said that loan growth remains moderate with limited capex activity. Further, it said that private banks are seeing potential for market share gains from PSU banks. Retail continues to drive growth across banks, but share of unsecured lending is rising and said that lowering interest on savings deposits can bring down funding cost by over 15 bps.

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Stock Market Updates-Buy, Sell, Hold: 6 stocks that are being tracked by analysts today

DCB Bank

Brokerage: Kotak Institutional Equities | Rating: Reduce

The brokerage house highlighted that the benefit of recent capital raising flowed partly into the company’s Q1 numbers, while loan growth looked impressive. The bank’s area of growth continues to remain in SME-led LAP (loan against property) portfolio. Meanwhile, the CASA deposit and ratio were a big positive surprise, it added. Net interest margins at over 4 percent in the current environment is a positive as well, the report added.

Jubilant Foodworks

Brokerage: CLSA

The brokerage house is foreseeing 3 percent same store sales growth although the stock seems to be building in even better growth. The expectations from the new management, it said, were high and any commentary on innovations and cost savings from them could be an important stock driver.

Brokerage: Deutsche Bank | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 1,250

The brokerage pins hopes on the fact that the company continues to focus on mass market products.

IGL

Brokerage: Citi | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 1,330

The brokerage house highlighted that the fresh access to Gurgaon market could lead to value accretion of Rs 155 per share. Further, organic volumes are seen to be growing at 9 percent CAGR despite the high FY17 base. Meanwhile, Q1 results should be strong on the back of margin improvement.

Infosys

Brokerage: Jefferies | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 1,100

The brokerage sees North America and BFSI growth to pick up in the second half. Having said that, it believes that the company is best placed amid industry headwinds.

Brokerage: Goldman Sachs | Rating: Sell | Target: Rs 799

The global research firm said that it raised Fy18-20 earnings per share (EPS) estimate by 2-4 percent and for the current fiscal the dollar constant currency growth is seen at 6.8 percent.

Brokerage: Bank of America Merrill Lynch | Rating: Neutral | Target: Rs 1,020

The research firm highlighted that the contribution of new offerings was healthy. Further, it said that it continued to like the company for its improving competitive positioning.

Shriram Transport

Brokerage: Nomura | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 1,250

Nomura said that there was an unconvincing justification for a merger with IDFC Bank. It believes that minority investors may not support IDFC transaction or may even look for huge premium on SWAP ratio. On a separate note, it sees used commercial vehicles’ asset quality cycle to reverse.

ITC

Brokerage: Morgan Stanley | Target: Rs 395

The global financial services firm highlighted that GST lowered the tax incidence on cigarettes in FY18. It expects a re-rating to continue to be led by benign tax policy. In the base case, it forecasts 7 percent cigarette volume growth in FY19 and sees 19 percent EBIT FY17-20 CAGR for cigarette business.

Further, it expects the company to report mid high-teens EBIT growth in cigarette business in FY19. Having said that, it believes a sharp increase in cigarette tax in the next Budget could be a key risk.

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Latest News on Stock,Equity Market- Buy, Sell, Hold: 5 stocks and 1 sector that analysts are tracking today

ITC

Brokerage: Citi | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 380

The global financial services firm expects cigarette volumes for the company to grow at 3.5-4 percent over the next three years. Meanwhile, it expects cigarette prices to see modest declines between 1 and 5 percent depending on the price point GST. It is forecasting over 15 percent earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) CAGR over FY17-20 and this rise, it said, should drive a re-rating of the stock.

Brokerage: CLSA | Rating: Buy

CLSA’s channel checks indicate that the company has reduced prices of cigarettes by 1-2 percent. It added that the company may have cut prices in states with higher value added tax (VAT). After this cut, retail prices are now in line with states having low VAT, it said, adding that further cuts are less likely now.

L&T

Brokerage: Credit Suisse | Rating: Outperform | Target: Rs 2,060

Credit Suisse is placing its bet on the stock due to domestic pick up and steady profitability across segments. It expects the company to benefit from the ongoing public infrastructure demand and a pick-up in private industrial capex.

On the company’s Q1 results, it believes the numbers could be strong on better execution and profitability of EPC business. The inflows, it believes could be flat year on year and expects 7 percent year on year growth in FY18.

The domestic execution is also likely to see a pick-up over FY17-20 due to healthy order backlog. Having said that, it is building over Rs 9 per share loss from Hyderabad Metro over FY19-20.

Tata Motors

Brokerage: Morgan Stanley | Rating: Overweight | Target: Rs 588.

The global research firm highlighted that JLR posted 5 percent year on year growth in global wholesales in June against 2 percent year on year growth in May. Further, it expects new models, better mix and receding forex losses should drive earnings. Having said that, a key risk to the stock is the underlying industry slowdown.

Brokerage: Macquarie | Rating: Outperform | Target: Rs 575

The brokerage observed that Land Rover drove the growth in June dispatches. Further, it expects growth to improve from July as sale of Range Rover Velar begins. Meanwhile, sales of Jaguar increased 16 percent yoy on the back of strong growth in F-Pace and XF sales. Later in the day, Jaguar E-Pace SUV will be unveiled and it expects sales to start in Q4. JLR sales volume and discount trends are the key risks to the stock.

Infosys

Brokerage: Goldman Sachs | Rating: Sell

Giving a preview into the Q1 results for the IT bellwether, Goldman Sachs expects a sequential revenue growth of 1.7 percemt at USD 2612 million, while dollar constant currency growth of 6.8 percent is seen as well.

Sequentially, it expects EBIT margin to decline by 120 bps on visa charges in the first quarter. It also feels that delayed wage hikes will negatively impact EBIT margin by 160 basis points. The research firm sees a downward reaction to the stock on any disappointment on guidance and buyback.

Bharti Airtel

Brokerage: Bank of America Merrill Lynch | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 436

BofAML expects the company to channelise the Indian operations cash flows towards repayment of debt. A negative impact from Africa could reduce as it is showing improvement in profit before tax and EBITDA. Meanwhile, it said that Africa’s contribution to revenue/EBITDA to decline to 20%/13% by FY20

Oil and gas

Brokerage: Credit Suisse

The research firm believes that a slowdown in industrial fuel and petcoke sales masked the robust transport demand in June. The diesel demand, meanwhile, is the strongest in fourteen months despite weak freight. It is positive on OMCs in the long term despite near term headwinds.

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Invest in Stock.Equity Market with This Tips

Bull's Eye, CNBC-TV18's popular game show, where market experts come together to dish out trading strategies for you to make your week more exciting and compete with each other to see whose portfolio is the strongest.

Remember these are midcap ideas not just for the day, but stocks that look attractive in the medium-term as well.

This week, Ashish Kyal, Gaurav Ratnaparkhi and Ruchit Jain battle it out for top honours.

Below their top stock picks and analysis

Ashish Kyal of wavesstrategy.com

• Buy JSW Energy with a stop loss at Rs 62.80 and target of Rs 69
• Buy Britannia Industries with a stop loss at Rs 3550 and target of Rs 3760
• Sell Aditya Birla Nuvo futures with stop loss at Rs 1730 and target of Rs 1625
• Sell Container Corporation futures with a stop loss at Rs 1198 and target of Rs 1135

Gaurav Ratnaparkhi of Sharekhan

• Buy RCF with a stop loss at Rs 84.90 and target of Rs 90.80
• Sell IDFC futues with a stop loss at Rs 59.30 and target of Rs 55.50
• Sell Oriental Bank of Commerce futures with a stop loss of Rs 152.50 and target at Rs 143
• Sell IRB Infra futures with a stop loss at Rs 235.20 and target of Rs 220.50

Ruchit Jain of Angel Broking

• Buy Manappuram Finance with a stop loss at Rs 89.50, target of Rs 104
• Buy Ashok Leyland with a stop loss at Rs 91.50, target of Rs 100
• Buy Deepak Fertilizers with a stop loss at Rs 252, target of Rs 274
• Buy Page Industries with a stop loss at Rs 15050 and target of Rs 16425

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Today's Buy Call Update of MOTILALOFS

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Today's Buy Call Update of TATASTEEL

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Top 5 stocks ideas which can give up to 7% return in a week

The market started the week on a positive note and ended higher on Monday after closing in the red for two consecutive sessions earlier. The index managed to close near all-time highs supported by pharma, banks and metal sectors while telecom sector seen under pressure during the session.

The Nifty closed well above short-term indicator which is provided by 20-days moving average (DMA) where RSI and MACD are both looking positive which might attract some more buying into the system in the coming session.

The closing of the market seems attractive to the bulls, which are likely to continue in the coming session as well.

Here is a list of top five stocks to buy based on technical factors:

Central Bank of India: BUY | Target: Rs 122 | Stop Loss: Rs 110 | Return: 7%

The stock has taken a strong support near its 20-days moving average (DMA) during the session and reverted just after touching those lower levels near Rs 107-108.

The counter is expected to move further higher as it has given positive close with increased volumes after three consecutive sessions of declines and is likely to continue the momentum for the coming session as well.

The momentum indicator such as RSI is also firm after a sharp decline suggesting some immediate recovery from the present levels.

Tata Elxsi India: BUY | Target: Rs 1,580 | Stop Loss: Rs 1,542 | Return 2%

The counter closed with a positive hammer candle formation and was supported by 20-days moving averages hinting upside momentum will remain intact for the coming session as well.

The stock has shown a breakout of a sideways movement that lasts since many session within a range of Rs 1,525-1,555.

The momentum indicators are showing positive momentum to continue as MACD has generated a fresh breakout while RSI is moving upwards above 55 levels.

Edelweiss Financial Services: BUY | Target: Rs 194 | Stop Loss: Rs 184 | Return: 3%

The stock has gained momentum on the daily charts support by 20-days moving averages with increased volumes and a recent resistance breakout of Rs185.50-186 levels.

The counter is gradually moving towards its psychological level of 200 in the coming few sessions. The momentum indicators are about to enter into the overbought levels as RSI is heading towards 70 and MACD after its crossover heading northwards.

ABB: BUY | Target: Rs 1,620 | Stop Loss: Rs 1,535 | Return: 3%

ABB made a positive hammer candle formation on the daily charts on Monday, suggesting some more upside movement to continue in the coming few sessions which has been followed by a decline and a Doji.

The volumes are firm at present levels along with momentum indicators e.g. RSI and MACD both are hinting some more positive momentum to continue as RSI is entering into overbought levels, so the very short term movement should be treated as upwards.

DLF: BUY | Target: Rs 220 | Stop Loss: Rs 205 | Return: 4%

The stock has continued its upside momentum during the session and closed with a positive Doji candle above previous day’s high. The counter is likely to move further higher in the coming session as well and should touch upper levels near Rs220.

The stock is supported by a number of indicators e.g. it is trading way above its 20-days moving average while momentum indicators are inching upwards along with firm volumes.

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